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	<title>LatIntelligence &#187; Michelle Bachalet</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.latintelligence.com/tag/michelle-bachalet/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.latintelligence.com</link>
	<description>by Shannon K. O'Neil</description>
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		<title>Reads of the Week: Extortion vs. Drug-Trafficking in Mexico, New Reports on U.S. Drug Use and Competitiveness in Latin America</title>
		<link>http://www.latintelligence.com/2011/09/09/reads-of-the-week-extortion-vs-drug-trafficking-in-mexico-new-reports-on-u-s-drug-use-and-competitiveness-in-latin-america/</link>
		<comments>http://www.latintelligence.com/2011/09/09/reads-of-the-week-extortion-vs-drug-trafficking-in-mexico-new-reports-on-u-s-drug-use-and-competitiveness-in-latin-america/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Sep 2011 18:04:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Shannon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Argentina]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brazil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[El Salvador]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Guatemala]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mexico]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Venezuela]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[competitiveness]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[democracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dilma Rousseff]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[drug consumption]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[drug policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Felipe Calderon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Immigration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Merida Initiative]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michelle Bachalet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[middle class]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[police forces]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Foreign Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[unasur]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[weapons]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.latintelligence.com/?p=1352</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A new piece by Eduardo Guerrero in Nexos looks at the growing problem of extortion in Mexico. Differentiating it from drug trafficking, he finds it more brutal and violence, and  argues it is on the rise for three reasons: fragmentation of cartels, displacement of crime rings (and their response to expand into new territories), and finally rampant impunity for such acts.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_1356" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 500px"><a rel="attachment wp-att-1356" href="http://www.latintelligence.com/2011/09/09/reads-of-the-week-extortion-vs-drug-trafficking-in-mexico-new-reports-on-u-s-drug-use-and-competitiveness-in-latin-america/latinreads9/"><img class="size-full wp-image-1356" title="latinreads9" src="http://www.latintelligence.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/latinreads9.jpg" alt="http://hypem.com/#!/item/1dsqb/The+Weeknd+-+The+Birds+Part+1" width="490" height="352" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">A general view of Sao Paulo, the biggest Latin American city (Paolo Whitaker/Courtesy Reuters).</p></div>
<p>A new piece by <a href="http://www.nexos.com.mx/?P=leerarticulov2print&amp;Article=2099496">Eduardo Guerrero in Nexos</a> looks at the growing problem of extortion in Mexico. Differentiating it  from drug trafficking, he finds it more brutal and violence, and   argues it is on the rise for three reasons: fragmentation of cartels,  displacement of crime rings (and their response to expand into new  territories), and finally rampant impunity for such acts.</p>
<p>Drug abuse in the United States is on the uptick overall, though use of “harder drugs” seems to be down, according to a <a href="http://oas.samhsa.gov/NSDUH/2k10NSDUH/2k10Results.pdf">recent study by the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA)</a>.  Marijuana use has increased some 20 percent over the last four years,  particularly among young people. Today more than one in five Americans  aged 18-25 get high on a regular basis. On the other hand, rates of  methamphetamine and cocaine abuse have been steadily declining since  2006.</p>
<p>The World Economic Forum released its <a href="http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalCompetitivenessReport_2010-11.pdf">Global Competitiveness report</a> this week, which measures competitiveness based on twelve benchmarks  that include “basic requirements”, such as institutions, “efficiency  enhancers” such as market size, and “innovation and sophistication  factors”, such as innovation. <a href="http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GCR_CountryProfilHighlights_2011-12.pdf">Among Latin American countries</a>, Mexico had the biggest boost in the rankings, moving up 8 spots from 66<sup>th</sup> to 58<sup>th</sup>,  and improving on 10 of the 12 categories (its only drop was in  macroeconomic environment). Brazil also made gains, up 5 places to 53<sup>rd</sup> overall (due largely to the size of its internal market and its  sophisticated business environment), and Chile remains at the top of the  region and the 31<sup>st</sup> most competitive nation worldwide.  Central American countries such as Guatemala, El Salvador and Nicaragua  registered steep declines in their ratings, due to weakening  institutions and rising insecurity, while Argentina and Venezuela  remained generally unchanged, but near the bottom of the list at 84<sup>th</sup> and 124<sup>th</sup>overall, respectively.</p>
<p><em>Published in conjunction with <a href="http://blogs.cfr.org/oneil">Latin America’s Moment</a> at the Council on Foreign Relations.</em></p>
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		<title>Reads of the Week: Latin America’s Democracies, Mexican Migration, and More</title>
		<link>http://www.latintelligence.com/2011/07/07/reads-of-the-week-latin-america%e2%80%99s-democracies-mexican-migration-and-more/</link>
		<comments>http://www.latintelligence.com/2011/07/07/reads-of-the-week-latin-america%e2%80%99s-democracies-mexican-migration-and-more/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Jul 2011 15:45:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Shannon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Brazil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Immigration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Latin America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mexico]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[corruption]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crime]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[democracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[drugs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Evo Morales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Felipe Calderon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hugo Chavez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[left turn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michelle Bachalet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[middle class]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Foreign Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[unasur]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.latintelligence.com/?p=1211</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Jorge Dominguez’s recent testimony before the Senate Subcommittee on Western Hemisphere gives an overview of Latin America’s progress toward democratic consolidation in recent history, and the role the international community has played in this slow, but steady, march.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_1212" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 500px"><a rel="attachment wp-att-1212" href="http://www.latintelligence.com/2011/07/07/reads-of-the-week-latin-america%e2%80%99s-democracies-mexican-migration-and-more/latintelreads2/"><img class="size-full wp-image-1212" title="Venezuelan President Chavez looks on as his Brazilian counterpart Lula da Silva speaks during their meeting at Miraflores Palace in Caracas in July, 2010 (Jorge Silva/Courtesy Reuters)." src="http://www.latintelligence.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/latintelreads2.jpg" alt="Venezuelan President Chavez looks on as his Brazilian counterpart Lula da Silva speaks during their meeting at Miraflores Palace in Caracas in July, 2010 (Jorge Silva/Courtesy Reuters)." width="490" height="352" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Venezuelan President Chavez looks on as his Brazilian counterpart Lula da Silva speaks during their meeting at Miraflores Palace in Caracas in July, 2010 (Jorge Silva/Courtesy Reuters).</p></div>
<p>Jorge Dominguez’s <a href="http://www.thedialogue.org/uploads/Op_Eds/DomingueztestimonyREVISED.pdf">recent testimony before the Senate Subcommittee on Western Hemisphere</a> gives an overview of Latin America’s progress toward democratic  consolidation in recent history, and the role the international  community has played in this slow, but steady, march.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,2081384,00.html"> Time</a> and <a href="http://americasquarterly.org/node/2633">America’s Quarterly</a> have two good pieces on Mexico’s state level elections last weekend.  While both rightly focus on the PRI’s strength coming out of the  election, it didn’t win everywhere. The party lost nine municipalities  it previously held in the state of Hidalgo, due in large part to  successful alliances between the PAN and PRD. Meanwhile, the <a href="http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/primera/37222.html">PRD mayor of Mexico City</a> urges that these ties must become stronger to give his party and its  allies a fighting chance in the 2012 presidential elections.</p>
<p>A recent New York Times article looks at the current state <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2011/07/06/world/americas/immigration.html?pagewanted=print">of  illegal immigration from Mexico to the U.S</a>.,  highlighting how changing dynamics within both countries dissuade  Mexicans from crossing the border illegally. This discussion addresses  issues I raised in the past, namely <a href="http://www.latimes.com/business/careers/work/la-oe-oneil5apr05,0,2975874.story">changing demographics</a> and new <a href="http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/65155/shannon-oneil/the-real-war-in-mexico">economic realities</a>, including <a href="http://blogs.cfr.org/oneil/2011/05/27/latin-america%E2%80%99s-growing-middle-class/">the rise of the middle class</a> in Mexico and the region more broadly.</p>
<p>Lastly, for readers worried about <a href="http://www.economist.com/node/18895150">Brazil’s overheating, this Economist graph</a> won’t calm your fears.</p>
<p><em>Published in conjunction with </em><a href="http://blogs.cfr.org/oneil/"><em>Latin America’s Moment </em></a><em> at the Council on Foreign Relations</em>.</p>
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		<title>Chile Votes for Change</title>
		<link>http://www.latintelligence.com/2010/01/19/chile-votes-for-change/</link>
		<comments>http://www.latintelligence.com/2010/01/19/chile-votes-for-change/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 Jan 2010 17:18:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Shannon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Chile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[democracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[left turn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michelle Bachalet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[social security]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.latintelligence.com/?p=594</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Despite the calm, Chile's presidential election Sunday was one of the transformative political moments in Latin America in recent years. Chile has transitioned toward a more pluralistic democracy and away from two decades of electoral dominance by the Concertación.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/ldevreeede/4282750569/"><img src="http://www.latintelligence.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/Chile-300x199.jpg" alt="Chile" title="Chile" width="300" height="199" class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-595" /></a>Despite the calm, Chile&#8217;s presidential election Sunday was one of the transformative political moments in Latin America in recent years. This transformation did not entail street demonstrations, a new constitution or the introduction of 21st-century socialism&#8211;yet it was no less radical. Chile has transitioned toward a more pluralistic democracy and away from two decades of electoral dominance by the Concertación&#8211;a coalition of mostly Socialists, Radicals and Christian Democrats forged in opposition to the Pinochet military government (1973-1989).</p>
<p>Right-leaning Alianza candidate Sebastián Piñera won the first-round December vote, outpacing Concertación candidate Eduardo Frei by nearly 15 percentage points. Sunday, by a closer margin, Piñera pulled another victory, making him the first elected conservative Chilean leader in several decades.</p>
<p>This was not an election driven by issues or ideology: Both candidates promised to continue Chile&#8217;s market-friendly macroeconomic policies and its popular social welfare programs. Instead it was driven by personal stories. Piñera presented himself as an entrepreneur who would foster greater innovation and competitiveness; Frei as a wise, experienced former president (he led the country from 1994 to 2000).</p>
<p>Piñera&#8217;s victory suggests a new era for Chile&#8217;s politics. It signifies that the right has finally emerged from the shadow of Pinochet&#8217;s military dictatorship to become a viable electoral alternative once more, able to lead an open and dynamic country without a fear of backsliding into the past. It is the end of the pro/anti Pinochet political divide&#8211;the guiding cleavage of Chile&#8217;s politics since the 1970s.</p>
<p>The Concertación&#8217;s loss is also in some ways the result of its successes. While many talk of the economic growth and stability brought by Pinochet&#8217;s reforms, it is the policies and actions of the governing Concertación coalition that have truly transformed Chile into a modern state. These successive governments&#8211;through sound macroeconomic management combined with the creation of a broad social safety net&#8211;succeeded in reducing Chile&#8217;s poverty rate from nearly 40% in 1990 to just under 14% today (nearly equivalent to U.S. rates). Chile&#8217;s now much larger middle class is more politically independent, and Piñera openly wooed this cohort&#8211;ultimately successfully.</p>
<p>While highlighting the diminishing role of Chile&#8217;s old political fracture, this election also highlighted a new divide&#8211;that between the old and the young. While Frei and Piñera came firmly from the old guard, the spectacular rise of Marco Enriquez-Ominami, a 36-year-old filmmaker and former congressman with the Socialist party, upended politics as usual. He became the most successful independent candidate in Chilean history, winning 20% of the first round votes. His strength lay in an emerging middle class focused on the future and open to political change. Whether we see an Enriquez-Ominami candidacy again in four years, this will surely be the last election where the leading candidates&#8217; formative years occurred under the Pinochet regime.</p>
<p>But Chile&#8217;s future political challenge will be how to engage its younger generations. Unlike their parents, seared by the turmoil of the 1970s and 1980s, Chile&#8217;s youth is politically apathetic. Less than 10% of 18- to 29-year-olds are even registered to vote. Many older citizens are also disillusioned. Polls show that 60% of the population believes that none of the candidates&#8211;or their parties&#8211;represent their ideas well. As the leftist Concertación tries to recreate a winning strategy and the right Alianza looks to deepen its victory, opening up the political system is vital. Chileans are demanding new approaches and more diversity. This election shows us that after decades of dominance by first the right and then the left, Chile&#8217;s politics are now up for grabs.<br />
<em><br />
This op-ed first appeared on Forbes.com</em></p>
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		<title>Welcoming Latin America&#8217;s New Left</title>
		<link>http://www.latintelligence.com/2006/12/05/welcoming-latin-america%e2%80%99s-new-left/</link>
		<comments>http://www.latintelligence.com/2006/12/05/welcoming-latin-america%e2%80%99s-new-left/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Dec 2006 15:10:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Shannon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Brazil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ecuador]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Latin America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Venezuela]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Evo Morales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hugo Chavez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[left turn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michelle Bachalet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rafael Correa]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://shannononeil.com/?p=8</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Over the last eighteen months Presidential elections occurred in twelve Latin American countries. While Hugo Chavez and his anti-American tirades grab most of the headlines, these elections actually show the rise of a new Left in Latin America. In contrast to Chavez&#8217;s more socialist populism, these new leaders promise to balance market-friendly economics with broader [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Over the last eighteen months Presidential elections occurred in twelve Latin American countries. While Hugo Chavez and his anti-American tirades grab most of the headlines, these elections actually show the rise of a new Left in Latin America. In contrast to Chavez&#8217;s more socialist populism, these new leaders promise to balance market-friendly economics with broader social policies and protections.</p>
<p>These new governments have already shown their commitment to free markets. In less than a year, Chile&#8217;s President Michelle Bachelet has signed free trade agreements with China, New Zealand, and Singapore, and is negotiating new accords with both Japan and Australia. Alan Garcia of Peru appointed a well-known private banker as Finance minister and vocally supports free trade agreements with the United States, Canada, and many Asian countries. Brazil&#8217;s Luiz Ignacio Lula da Silva was re-elected based on his conservative first term economic policies. Tabare Vazquez of Uruguay also continued the orthodox economic choices of the previous government, attracting both Finnish and Spanish foreign investment for Uruguay&#8217;s cellulose industry.</p>
<p>Even the more rhetorically radical leaders are governing or likely to govern near a pragmatic center. During his first year in office, Bolivian President Evo Morales drew back from his more populist campaign appeals. He cancelled the nationalization of the mining industry, and is now negotiating gas contracts with foreign companies. While peppering campaign speeches with anti-American quips, Nicaragua&#8217;s Daniel Ortega left the Sandinista&#8217;s economic ideology behind. During his first weeks in office he has already started courting domestic and foreign investment, promising to uphold contracts and maintain open markets. Rafael Correa&#8217;s of Ecuador began moderating his promises in the final weeks of the presidential campaign, and even reached out to U.S. ambassador, Linda Jewel. In fact, only Venezuela&#8217;s Hugo Chavez, supported by oil revenues &#8211; represents a firm holdover from the political past.</p>
<p>Yet while rejecting old-style socialism, Latin American voters did turn left. The winning candidates all reached out to the large portions of the population that have not benefited from economic reforms. They promised to improve the social welfare of ordinary citizens. Now in office, they are pushing forward to create jobs, eliminate hunger, and provide better access to education, social security and health care.</p>
<p>This shift Left reflects the real needs of Latin America&#8217;s populations. While Latin America&#8217;s economies have grown in recent years, these benefits have not trickled down. Some 25% of the population still lives in poverty. The difference between the haves and have nots stubbornly remains one of the most pronounced in the world.</p>
<p>More positively, this political turn reflects the spread of democracy. As more open and inclusive governments take root, politicians are responding to voter demands. The winning electoral campaigns focused not just on overall economic growth but also on increasing economic opportunities, particularly for the poor.</p>
<p>These newly elected leaders now will try to soften the rough edges of globalization while continuing to compete in international markets. This is a difficult balancing act for any leader, and many will not meet the challenge. But as Leftists, they have an opportunity to build a social consensus behind the long-term investments necessary for real change in these countries. To that end, this new Left represents the best chance for strengthening the economies and the democracies of Latin America.</p>
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