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	<title>LatIntelligence &#187; Latinos</title>
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	<link>http://www.latintelligence.com</link>
	<description>by Shannon K. O'Neil</description>
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		<title>Si se puede!: Obama and the Latino Vote</title>
		<link>http://www.latintelligence.com/2008/11/11/si-se-puede-obama-and-the-latino-vote/</link>
		<comments>http://www.latintelligence.com/2008/11/11/si-se-puede-obama-and-the-latino-vote/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2008 19:37:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Shannon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Immigration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[democracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Latinos]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.latintelligence.com/?p=98</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Nearly 10 million Latinos voted last Tuesday, setting a new record. They made up between 8% and 9% of the total vote, slightly more than in 2004. Hispanic votes shares did jump significantly in a few swing states – up 9% in New Mexico, and 5% in both Colorado and Nevada. 
Tuesday’s results show that [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="NoSpace"><a href="http://www.latintelligence.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/latino_vote.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-99 alignleft" style="border: 0pt none; margin: 2px;" title="latino_vote" src="http://www.latintelligence.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/latino_vote-300x221.jpg" alt="" width="270" height="199" /></a><span class="MsoSubtleEmphasis"><span style="font-style: normal; color: #000000;">Nearly <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/07/us/politics/07latino.html" target="_blank">10 million </a>Latinos voted last Tuesday, setting a new record. They made up between 8% and 9% of the total vote, slightly more than in 2004. Hispanic votes shares did <a href="http://pewhispanic.org/files/reports/98.pdf" target="_blank">jump significantly </a>in a few swing states – up 9% in New Mexico, and 5% in both Colorado and Nevada.<span> </span></span></span></p>
<p class="NoSpace"><span class="MsoSubtleEmphasis"><span style="font-style: normal; color: #000000;">Tuesday’s results show that Latinos were<span> </span>crucial in many states that switched from<span> </span>red to blue. In 2004 56% of Florida’s Latinos (639,225) voted for George Bush, propelling him to a 5% (380,978 vote) victory. This time around, 634,500 Latinos—57%—voted for Obama, propelling him to victory with a 2.5% (204,577 votes)<span> </span>margin. Despite the still solid Republican vote of<span> </span>Florida’s Cuban-Americans, the growing non-Cuban Latinos pushed Obama over the top. Latino votes for Obama also exceeded his margin of victory in Colorado and New Mexico. In Nevada and Virginia, Latino votes also played an important, if not decisive, role in moving Nevada and Virginia into the Obama camp.<span> </span>All told, without the Latino vote, Obama would have won 41 fewer electoral college votes. Not a deal breaker, but this demographic helped orchestrate his electoral college landslide last Tuesday.</span></span></p>
<p class="NoSpace">
<p class="NoSpace"><span class="MsoSubtleEmphasis"><span style="font-style: normal; color: #000000;">Nearly one out of every two new Americans is Latino, meaning this demographic could increasingly dominate the future electorate. But to do so, they have to get out the vote. While 10 million voters is a record, it means that nearly 7 million eligible Latino voters didn’t make it to the polls. That places Latino turnout at 58% &#8211; below the country’s 62%, and particularly lower than white voters’ 67% . To strengthen their political heft, and shape the issues that matter to them such as education, the cost of living, jobs, health care, and immigration, turnout will have to increase.<span> </span>As Latinos expand to become 30% of our population (expected by 2042) the question will be whether this population resides in the heart, rather than the margins, of American democracy.</span></span></p>
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		<title>Demography enters the immigration debate</title>
		<link>http://www.latintelligence.com/2007/04/19/more-information-on-us-demographics-and-immigration/</link>
		<comments>http://www.latintelligence.com/2007/04/19/more-information-on-us-demographics-and-immigration/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Apr 2007 16:00:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Shannon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Immigration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Latinos]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.latintelligence.com/?p=19</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The importance of demography for U.S. immigration is finally getting its due. Recent Congressional testimony by Dowell Myers highlights the effects of baby boomer retirement on the U.S. labor market, and the importance of legal migration given these shifts. A recent study by Mitra Toosi at the Bureau of Labor Statistics develops projections for the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The importance of demography for U.S. immigration is finally getting its due. Recent Congressional testimony by <a title="Dowell Myers" href="http://judiciary.house.gov/media/pdfs/Myers070330.pdf" target="_blank">Dowell Myers</a> highlights the effects of baby boomer retirement on the U.S. labor market, and the importance of legal migration given these shifts. A recent study by <a title="Mitra Toosi" href="http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2006/11/contents.htm" target="_blank">Mitra Toosi </a>at the Bureau of Labor Statistics develops projections for the U.S. labor market in more detail. She adds the interesting fact that not only will baby boomers retire, but women&#8217;s participation rates in the workforce have stabilized (at near 60%). That means that unlike in the past, there isn&#8217;t a large untapped &#8220;surplus&#8221; of native Americans to meet growing labor demands.</p>
<p>These calculations contradict many of the responders to my recent op-ed, who question that U.S. demographic shifts will increase our future demand (and need) for immigrants. Often these comments come from self-identified baby boomers that say they don&#8217;t plan on retiring at 65.</p>
<p>That may be true. But I doubt the vast majority of them plan to be working at 80. If in fact the baby boomers overwhelmingly decide to postpone retirement, it will only delay, not put an end to, these future labor needs.</p>
<p>The overall trend, as these studies show, is a shrinking workforce and growing dependent population. While immigration can&#8217;t solve all of the challenges of this demographic shift, it will be a necessary part of our future if the U.S. economy is to continue to grow, and if many of the amenities we now enjoy in the United States are to remain available.</p>
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